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9on september 2, due to rising international oil prices, the market expects opec+ to hold a meeting on september 5. the main reason is that opec+ is currently facing production difficulties, and the west is not prepared enough to set a price ceiling for russian oil exports. although it is generally predicted that opec+ will continue to maintain stable production levels until october at the meeting on the 5th. but the saudi side's decision made the market situation more complicated. the saudi side said: crude oil futures are currently divorced from the supply and demand situation of practical applications, and reasonable production restrictions may be the only way to restore market balance. at the same time, the russian side also announced that the "beixi no. 1" natural gas pipeline will be closed indefinitely from that day until the fault is eliminated. germany's response to its natural gas pipeline shutn was muted, leading to a drop in european natural gas prices on september 2.
yesterday, the organization of the petroleum exporting countries and its partners (opec+) finally officially began to hold a meeting to start consultations on the issue of "whether to cut production". saudi arabia has directly proposed to consider reducing production, and member states such as congo, sudan and equatorial guinea have expressed openness to this idea, and are currently extracting oil fields at maximum production capacity. based on the decline in oil prices in recent weeks, opec+ has in the past imposed production restrictions to support oil prices. however, according to russian sources, russia currently does not support the resolution to cut oil production, trying to curb western countries' attempts to limit their energy revenues. reduce the level of its exports to oil-consuming countries. therefore, the final result of the meeting is very likely to keep production stable. however, representatives of other opec+ countries said that they could not continue to increase production, and that if they expanded the quota, they would face serious credibility problems.
as of 13:00 on september 5, wti’s october crude oil futures price was at $88.74/barrel, up 2.15%, and brent’s november crude oil futures price was at $95.12/barrel barrels, up 2.29%. currently, energy prices in europe are at historically high levels. the chain reaction triggered by price fluctuations of natural gas and crude oil in europe on september 5 finally appeared in china. at the close of the day at noon, the wind gas industry index rose 6.5% to 6311.62 points. among them, kaitian gas (831010.bj) rose 12.2% to 4.23 yuan per share. eight companies including nanjing public utilities (000421.sz), shengli shares (000407.sz), hongtong gas (605169.sh), delong huineng (000593.sz) and xinjiang torch (603080.sh) traded at about 10% range daily limit.
after being boosted by the outbreak of resource concept stocks such as oil and gas and natural gas, the concept stocks of propylene oxide in the chemical industry also experienced a joint outbreak, as of the close at noon. yida shares, hongbaoli, etc. closed their daily limit, among which yida shares received a 20cm daily limit. according to the data in 2021, the production capacity of propylene oxide in europe accounts for 25% of the world. in the case of high energy consumption in europe, the supply and demand of propylene oxide will undergo major changes in the next stage due to its high energy consumption, and the price is expected to continue to rise. at present, some domestic manufacturers plan to increase the supply of products in europe, and the domestic market should be undersupplied at present. for example, hongbaoli has planned to increase its annual production capacity to 250,000 tons and will start sales at that time. the representative of yida co., ltd. replied that the company's 150,000 tons of propylene oxide project is ready for external sales. moreover, due to the nature of the product, propylene oxide is restricted by various environmental protection policies, and the current overall operating rate is at a low level. the price of propylene oxide has been rising all the way since the beginning of august and has now exceeded 10,000 yuan/ton. the sharp rise in european natural gas prices will support global chemical-related prices. it is expected that the propylene oxide market will continue to rise next week.
